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Session Summary — S45 (session_id=48)

Date: 2026-04-21 02:28–02:31 UTC
Duration: 162.94s elapsed (3600s requested)
Halt reason: recovery_exhausted_halt
Phase 7.4 clean session count: 0/2 (halt ≠ duration_elapsed — does not count)


Vitals

Metric Value
Session ID 48
Ticks 27
Fills 2 (buy=1, sell=1)
Toxic fills 0/2 (0.0%)
VW realized spread 10.57 bps
Avg realized spread 10.12 bps
Capital start (RLUSD) 196.979
Capital end (RLUSD) 196.942
Capital change −0.037 RLUSD (flat)

Anchor Regime

Metric Value
Mean error +9.47 bps
Median error +10.00 bps
Range [+8.1, +10.0] bps
Bias Positive
|err| > 5 bps 100% of ticks

Verdict: Fully hostile. Same persistent CLOB-AMM divergence as S43 and S44. Regime has been hostile across all three post-FLAG-042 sessions.


Guard Activity

Anchor saturation guard fired on entry → engine entered DEGRADED → recovery evaluator cleared the condition → anchor guard fired again on second entry → per-episode cap exhausted → recovery_exhausted_halt.

This is FLAG-042 working as designed. In a fully hostile regime (anchor 100% above 5 bps threshold), a single recovery window cannot sustain — guard re-fires is correct and expected.

FLAG-043 (corridor stability window): Only 27 ticks in session, anchor dominant signal. Corridor contribution to exhaust cycle inconclusive — regime cleared the session before corridor could be isolated. Continue monitoring in S46.


Fills

Both fills occurred at the same timestamp (02:30:54 UTC) — simultaneous cross on the same tick:

Side Price Qty
BUY 1.4247 10.5 XRP
SELL 1.4276 19.5 XRP

Spread captured on the cross: ~20 bps gross. VW 10.57 bps after skew adjustment.


Inventory at Close

Asset Qty
XRP 64.503
RLUSD 104.963
Total value (RLUSD) 196.942
XRP share 46.7%
RLUSD share 53.3%

Momentum Filter

  • Buy suppressions: 2
  • Sell suppressions: 0

Pre-S46 Requirements

  1. Realign inventory: Run python tools/realign_inventory_to_onchain.py --config config/config_live_stage1.yaml --db neo_live_stage1.db --dry-run → verify zero delta → --confirm if needed.
  2. Regime check: Anchor has been above 8 bps for all of S43–S45. Consider waiting for a better regime window before S46, or accept that guards will fire again.

Notes for Vesper

  • First native NEO Desk artifact. System is live.
  • No engineering action required from this session — engine behavior was correct throughout.
  • The persistent hostile regime (S43/S44/S45 all fully above threshold) may warrant an Atlas observation: is CLOB-AMM divergence structural at this time of day, or is this a temporary market condition? Not an escalation yet — flagging for awareness.

— Katja